Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Kenji Arai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record15-15-5
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'9"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight144 lbs
MjolnirTeamPANCRASEism
What's at stake
Aron Franz Kristjansson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Kenji Arai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1521
If they lose-27→ 1473
If they win+13→ 1475
If they lose-11→ 1451
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aron Franz KristjanssonKenji Arai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aron Franz Kristjansson82%
Kenji Arai 18%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 82% favorite over Kenji Arai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Aron Franz Kristjansson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1462, a 38-point edge.
Kenji Arai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kenji Arai 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.