Combat Edge Intelligence

Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Sam Debalke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record1-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeightTBD
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
MjolnirTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Aron Franz Kristjansson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Sam Debalke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aron Franz KristjanssonNow 1500
If they win+22→ 1522
If they lose-26→ 1474
Sam DebalkeNow 1475
If they win+26→ 1501
If they lose-22→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aron Franz KristjanssonSam Debalke
15002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Aron Franz Kristjansson70%
Sam Debalke 30%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 70% favorite over Sam Debalke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Aron Franz Kristjansson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1475, a 25-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.