Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Takeshi Yamazaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record15-12-3
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'8"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MjolnirTeamGrabaka
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477
If they win+12→ 1523
If they lose-12→ 1499
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aron Franz KristjanssonTakeshi Yamazaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aron Franz Kristjansson66%
Takeshi Yamazaki 34%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 66% favorite over Takeshi Yamazaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takeshi Yamazaki's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1511), separated by just 11 points.
Takeshi Yamazaki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Takeshi Yamazaki 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.