Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Wagner Campos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record12-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'6"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MjolnirTeamFight Only
What's at stake
Aron Franz Kristjansson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Wagner Campos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1520
If they lose-28→ 1472
If they win+19→ 1460
If they lose-13→ 1428
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aron Franz KristjanssonWagner Campos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aron Franz Kristjansson83%
Wagner Campos 17%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 83% favorite over Wagner Campos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Aron Franz Kristjansson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1441, a 59-point edge.
Wagner Campos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Wagner Campos 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.