Combat Edge Intelligence

Asaël Adjoudj vs Julio Arce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record21-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'7"
72"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Asaël AdjoudjNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Julio ArceNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
TBD
Strike defense
68%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
96%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Asaël AdjoudjJulio Arce
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (33%)
2 (18%)
Submission
5 (24%)
5 (45%)
Decision
9 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Asaël Adjoudj60%
Julio Arce 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Asaël Adjoudj a 60% favorite over Julio Arce in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1703), separated by just 0 points.

Asaël Adjoudj enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Asaël Adjoudj finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Julio Arce 57%.

Asaël Adjoudj carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.