Ashkan Mokhtarian vs Felipe dos Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
38,0"Reach 70"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Australian Top TeamTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashkan MokhtarianFelipe dos Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe dos Santos66%
Ashkan Mokhtarian 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe dos Santos a 66% favorite over Ashkan Mokhtarian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1582), separated by just 6 points.
Ashkan Mokhtarian enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Felipe dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ashkan Mokhtarian finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Felipe dos Santos 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.