Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Reece vs Preston Parsons

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Reece

Ashley Reece

“The Beast”

10-3-0WelterweightPFL

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
69"Reach71"
168 lbsWeight170 lbs
HAMMATeamElevate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashley ReeceNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Preston ParsonsNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.12
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.53
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.35

Trajectory

Ashley ReecePreston Parsons
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (10%)
Submission
9 (82%)
5 (50%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Ashley Reece60%
Preston Parsons 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Reece a 60% favorite over Preston Parsons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1610), separated by just 2 points.

Preston Parsons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ashley Reece finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Preston Parsons 82%.

Preston Parsons carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.