Ashley Thiner vs Jerome Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record10-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'10"
66" Reach41,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Three Kings Muay ThaiTeamDestroya MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley ThinerJerome Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jerome Rivera53%
Ashley Thiner 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jerome Rivera a 53% favorite over Ashley Thiner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1558), separated by just 3 points.
Ashley Thiner enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jerome Rivera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jerome Rivera 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.