Ashley Thiner vs Juancamilo Ronderos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'3"
66" Reach64,5"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Three Kings Muay ThaiTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley ThinerJuancamilo Ronderos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Juancamilo Ronderos58%
Ashley Thiner 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Juancamilo Ronderos a 58% favorite over Ashley Thiner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ashley Thiner's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1555), separated by just 0 points.
Ashley Thiner enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Juancamilo Ronderos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Juancamilo Ronderos 50%.
Ashley Thiner carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.