Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Thiner vs Louis Gaudinot

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record8-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'3"
66" ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Three Kings Muay ThaiTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashley ThinerNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
Louis GaudinotNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.42
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.57
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
31%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

Ashley ThinerLouis Gaudinot
1550201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Ashley Thiner66%
Louis Gaudinot 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Thiner a 66% favorite over Louis Gaudinot in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Louis Gaudinot's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1560), separated by just 5 points.

Ashley Thiner enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Louis Gaudinot 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.