Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Thiner vs Roberto Sanchez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
66" Reach37.00
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Three Kings Muay ThaiTeamGracie Barra Texas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ashley ThinerNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
Roberto SanchezNow 1560
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.78
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.61
TBD
Takedown accuracy
63%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Ashley ThinerRoberto Sanchez
155020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (88%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ashley Thiner57%
Roberto Sanchez 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Thiner a 57% favorite over Roberto Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roberto Sanchez's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1560), separated by just 5 points.

Ashley Thiner enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Roberto Sanchez 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.