Ashley Thiner vs Ulka Sasaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record24-10-2
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
66" Reach71.00
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
Three Kings Muay ThaiTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1578
If they lose-25→ 1530
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley ThinerUlka Sasaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ashley Thiner63%
Ulka Sasaki 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Thiner a 63% favorite over Ulka Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1545), separated by just 10 points.
Ashley Thiner enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ulka Sasaki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ulka Sasaki 58%.
Ulka Sasaki carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.