Ashley Yoder vs Heather Jo Clark
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record8-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'6"
TBDReach64.00
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team QuestTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Ashley Yoder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Heather Jo Clark carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1551
If they lose-18→ 1519
If they win+27→ 1524
If they lose-21→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley YoderHeather Jo Clark
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ashley Yoder56%
Heather Jo Clark 44%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Yoder a 56% favorite over Heather Jo Clark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ashley Yoder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1537 to 1497, a 40-point edge.
Heather Jo Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Heather Jo Clark 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.