Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Yoder vs Istela Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Yoder
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Ashley Yoder

“The Spider Monkey”

8-9-0StrawweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record6-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReach66"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team QuestTeamTeam Nunes

What's at stake

Ashley Yoder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Istela Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ashley YoderNow 1537
If they win+14→ 1551
If they lose-18→ 1519
Istela NunesNow 1501
If they win+18→ 1519
If they lose-14→ 1487

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
39%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.84
47%
Strike defense
60%
1.09
Takedown avg.
0
28%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0.55
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ashley YoderIstela Nunes
15001550202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
4 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (50%)
Decision
4 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Ashley Yoder52%
Istela Nunes 48%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Yoder a 52% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Ashley Yoder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1537 to 1501, a 36-point edge.

Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Istela Nunes 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.