Ashley Yoder vs Jamie Moyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record4-4-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'1"
TBDReach35,0"
116 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team QuestTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Ashley Yoder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jamie Moyle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1551
If they lose-18→ 1519
If they win+26→ 1530
If they lose-22→ 1482
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley YoderJamie Moyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jamie Moyle52%
Ashley Yoder 48%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Moyle a 52% favorite over Ashley Yoder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ashley Yoder's way (45%).
Ashley Yoder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1537 to 1504, a 33-point edge.
Jamie Moyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Moyle 25%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.