Ashley Yoder vs Kailin Curran
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReach37,0"
116 lbsWeight113 lbs
Team QuestTeamRVCA
What's at stake
Ashley Yoder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Kailin Curran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1550
If they lose-19→ 1518
If they win+19→ 1490
If they lose-13→ 1458
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ashley YoderKailin Curran
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kailin Curran58%
Ashley Yoder 42%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Kailin Curran a 58% favorite over Ashley Yoder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ashley Yoder's way (41%).
Ashley Yoder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1537 to 1471, a 66-point edge.
Kailin Curran enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kailin Curran 17%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.