Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Yoder vs Kathryn Paprocki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Yoder
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Ashley Yoder

“The Spider Monkey”

8-9-0StrawweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record3-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'3"
TBDReach36,0"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team QuestTeamDCO MMA & FItness

What's at stake

Ashley Yoder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kathryn Paprocki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ashley YoderNow 1537
If they win+14→ 1551
If they lose-18→ 1519
Kathryn PaprockiNow 1494
If they win+27→ 1521
If they lose-21→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
1
39%
Strike accuracy
23%
4.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
47%
Strike defense
43%
1.09
Takedown avg.
0
28%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.55
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ashley YoderKathryn Paprocki
15001550202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (50%)
Submission
1 (33%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Kathryn Paprocki60%
Ashley Yoder 40%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes Kathryn Paprocki a 60% favorite over Ashley Yoder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ashley Yoder's way (44%).

Ashley Yoder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1537 to 1494, a 43-point edge.

Kathryn Paprocki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kathryn Paprocki 33%.

Ashley Yoder and Kathryn Paprocki share 1 common opponent: Emily Ducote.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Emily Ducote
LossSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2019