Combat Edge Intelligence

Ashley Yoder vs Maia Stevenson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Yoder
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Ashley Yoder

“The Spider Monkey”

8-9-0StrawweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record6-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReach35.00
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team QuestTeamJoe Stevenson's Cobra Kai

What's at stake

Ashley Yoder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Maia Stevenson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ashley YoderNow 1537
If they win+14→ 1551
If they lose-18→ 1519
Maia StevensonNow 1484
If they win+28→ 1512
If they lose-20→ 1464

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
1.57
39%
Strike accuracy
55%
4.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
47%
Strike defense
33%
1.09
Takedown avg.
3.91
28%
Takedown accuracy
100%
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0.55
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ashley YoderMaia Stevenson
15001550201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
4 (50%)
Submission
2 (33%)
4 (50%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Ashley Yoder54%
Maia Stevenson 46%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Yoder a 54% favorite over Maia Stevenson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Ashley Yoder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1537 to 1484, a 53-point edge.

Ashley Yoder finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Maia Stevenson 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.