Combat Edge Intelligence

Askar Mozharov vs Predrag Božović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Askar Mozharov
ua

Askar Mozharov

“Black Jaguar”

15-14-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1498Average

Tale of the tape

15-14-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
74"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamMMA Team Zabjelo

What's at stake

Predrag Božović is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Askar Mozharov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Askar MozharovNow 1498
If they win+13→ 1511
If they lose-11→ 1487
Predrag BožovićNow 1526
If they win+22→ 1548
If they lose-26→ 1500

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.43
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
18%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
14%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Askar MozharovPredrag Božović
1450150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (27%)
Submission
2 (100%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Predrag Božović60%
Askar Mozharov 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Predrag Božović a 60% favorite over Askar Mozharov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Predrag Božović holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1526 to 1498, a 28-point edge.

Askar Mozharov finishes 93% of wins inside the distance.

Predrag Božović carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.