Combat Edge Intelligence

Assem Ghanem vs Leonard Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record18-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
S&B AcademyTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Assem GhanemNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Leonard GarciaNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
42%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Assem GhanemLeonard Garcia
1550160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
2 (29%)
Submission
10 (56%)
3 (43%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Assem Ghanem and Leonard Garcia within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1619), separated by just 3 points.

Assem Ghanem enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Leonard Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Assem Ghanem finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Leonard Garcia 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.