Combat Edge Intelligence

Augusto Sakai vs Hamdy Abdelwahab

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-1Record7-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach72"
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKiller B Combat Sports Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Augusto SakaiNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Hamdy AbdelwahabNow 1632
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.49
49%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
49%
Strike defense
52%
0.23
Takedown avg.
1.33
40%
Takedown accuracy
67%
56%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Augusto SakaiHamdy Abdelwahab
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (31%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Hamdy Abdelwahab62%
Augusto Sakai 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hamdy Abdelwahab a 62% favorite over Augusto Sakai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Augusto Sakai's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1632), separated by just 2 points.

Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Augusto Sakai finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Hamdy Abdelwahab 71%.

Augusto Sakai and Hamdy Abdelwahab share 1 common opponent: Don'Tale Mayes.

Augusto Sakai carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Don'Tale Mayes
WinNo Contest · 2022