Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Arnett vs Douglas Silva de Andrade

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Austin Arnett
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Austin Arnett

“The Golden Boy”

18-7-0FeatherweightFSF

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record29-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
6'0"Height5'6"
41,0"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
SikjitsuTeamCorinthians MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin ArnettNow 1626
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
3.54
41%
Strike accuracy
38%
6.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
62%
Strike defense
58%
0.44
Takedown avg.
0.55
18%
Takedown accuracy
43%
57%
Takedown defense
73%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Austin ArnettDouglas Silva de Andrade
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
20 (69%)
6 (33%)
Submission
2 (7%)
4 (22%)
Decision
7 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Douglas Silva de Andrade52%
Austin Arnett 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Silva de Andrade a 52% favorite over Austin Arnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Austin Arnett enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Austin Arnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Douglas Silva de Andrade 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.