Austin Bashi vs Gabriel Braga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-1-0Record14-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Warrior Way Martial ArtsTeamTropa Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin BashiGabriel Braga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Bashi60%
Gabriel Braga 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Bashi a 60% favorite over Gabriel Braga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1718), separated by just 3 points.
Austin Bashi finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Braga 50%.
Gabriel Braga carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.