Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Bashi vs Manny Bermudez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Manny Bermudez
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Manny Bermudez

“The Bermudez Triangle”

15-2-0FeatherweightNEF

1718Good

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record15-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
70"Reach40,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Warrior Way Martial ArtsTeamSouth Shore Sportfighting

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin BashiNow 1721
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705
Manny BermudezNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.75
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
47%
Strike accuracy
61%
2.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
49%
Strike defense
47%
7.81
Takedown avg.
3.06
9%
Takedown accuracy
55%
63%
Takedown defense
0%
1.67
Submission avg.
3.06

Trajectory

Austin BashiManny Bermudez
16501700175020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
6 (43%)
Submission
12 (80%)
5 (36%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Bashi63%
Manny Bermudez 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Bashi a 63% favorite over Manny Bermudez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1718), separated by just 3 points.

Austin Bashi finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Manny Bermudez 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.