Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Hubbard vs Dong Hyun Ma

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record16-11-3
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"Reach70.50
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamBusan Team MAD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin HubbardNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
44%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.89
56%
Strike defense
59%
1.59
Takedown avg.
2.93
32%
Takedown accuracy
44%
68%
Takedown defense
72%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Austin HubbardDong Hyun Ma
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
2 (13%)
Submission
6 (38%)
9 (56%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Hubbard60%
Dong Hyun Ma 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 60% favorite over Dong Hyun Ma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1615), separated by just 4 points.

Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Dong Hyun Ma 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.