Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Hubbard vs Gray Maynard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Gray Maynard
us

Gray Maynard

“The Bully”

13-7-1FeatherweightUFC

1618Solid

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record13-7-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin HubbardNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Gray MaynardNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.92
44%
Strike accuracy
33%
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
56%
Strike defense
67%
1.59
Takedown avg.
2.91
32%
Takedown accuracy
48%
68%
Takedown defense
81%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.70

Trajectory

Austin HubbardGray Maynard
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
2 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (56%)
Decision
11 (85%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Hubbard53%
Gray Maynard 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 53% favorite over Gray Maynard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.

Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Gray Maynard 15%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.