Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Hubbard vs John Gunderson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record35-16-2
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin HubbardNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
John GundersonNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.04
44%
Strike accuracy
27%
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.71
56%
Strike defense
59%
1.59
Takedown avg.
1.67
32%
Takedown accuracy
33%
68%
Takedown defense
11%
0.11
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Austin HubbardJohn Gunderson
1600165020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (11%)
2 (13%)
Submission
28 (80%)
9 (56%)
Decision
3 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Hubbard64%
John Gunderson 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 64% favorite over John Gunderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1619), separated by just 0 points.

Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, John Gunderson 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.