Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Hubbard vs Kēstin McClain

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamRoughhouse Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin HubbardNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Kēstin McClainNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.59
Takedown avg.
TBD
32%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.11
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Austin HubbardKēstin McClain
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
2 (13%)
Submission
1 (20%)
9 (56%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Kēstin McClain70%
Austin Hubbard 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kēstin McClain a 70% favorite over Austin Hubbard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1623), separated by just 4 points.

Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kēstin McClain enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Kēstin McClain 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.