Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Hubbard vs Mike Budnik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Budnik
us

Mike Budnik

“Wildfire”

14-4-0LightweightXFO

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record14-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTriton Fight Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin HubbardNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Mike BudnikNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
0.65
44%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.95
56%
Strike defense
54%
1.59
Takedown avg.
0
32%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
0%
0.11
Submission avg.
3.38

Trajectory

Austin HubbardMike Budnik
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
2 (13%)
Submission
8 (57%)
9 (56%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Hubbard56%
Mike Budnik 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 56% favorite over Mike Budnik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1616), separated by just 3 points.

Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mike Budnik enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Mike Budnik 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.