Austin Hubbard vs Nobuhiro Obiya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record12-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamKiguchi Dojo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin HubbardNobuhiro Obiya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Hubbard53%
Nobuhiro Obiya 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 53% favorite over Nobuhiro Obiya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nobuhiro Obiya's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1621), separated by just 2 points.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nobuhiro Obiya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Nobuhiro Obiya 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.