Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Hubbard vs Rustam Asuev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight149 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFight Club Berkut

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin HubbardNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Rustam AsuevNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.59
Takedown avg.
TBD
32%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.11
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Austin HubbardRustam Asuev
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
2 (13%)
Submission
1 (10%)
9 (56%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Asuev60%
Austin Hubbard 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Asuev a 60% favorite over Austin Hubbard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1622), separated by just 3 points.

Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Asuev 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.