Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Lingo vs Chris Avila

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Austin Lingo
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Austin Lingo

“Lights Out”

9-4-0FeatherweightFFC

1508Average

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record8-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach39,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin LingoNow 1508
If they win+23→ 1531
If they lose-25→ 1483
Chris AvilaNow 1495
If they win+17→ 1512
If they lose-15→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
2.37
38%
Strike accuracy
30%
4.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.17
57%
Strike defense
49%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0
67%
Takedown accuracy
0%
76%
Takedown defense
46%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Austin LingoChris Avila
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
2 (22%)
Submission
2 (25%)
4 (44%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Austin Lingo and Chris Avila within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1495), separated by just 13 points.

Austin Lingo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Austin Lingo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Chris Avila 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.