Austin Lingo vs Lorenzo de Nigris
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Fortis MMATeamLigorio Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1532
If they lose-24→ 1484
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin LingoLorenzo de Nigris
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lorenzo de Nigris56%
Austin Lingo 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 56% favorite over Austin Lingo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Lingo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1501), separated by just 7 points.
Austin Lingo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Austin Lingo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.