Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Springer vs Dennis Buzukja

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
38,0"Reach70"
151 lbsWeight155 lbs
Vancouver Elite Martial ArtsTeamLongo and Weidman MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin SpringerNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Dennis BuzukjaNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
58%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
42%
Strike defense
49%
3.37
Takedown avg.
0.62
40%
Takedown accuracy
27%
100%
Takedown defense
75%
0.84
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Austin SpringerDennis Buzukja
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
2 (17%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (25%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Buzukja62%
Austin Springer 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Buzukja a 62% favorite over Austin Springer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Springer's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1616), separated by just 2 points.

Dennis Buzukja enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Austin Springer finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Dennis Buzukja 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.