Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Springer vs Harry Hardwick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record13-5-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
38,0"Reach70"
151 lbsWeight145 lbs
Vancouver Elite Martial ArtsTeamMiddlesbrough Fight Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin SpringerNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Harry HardwickNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
2.39
58%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.16
42%
Strike defense
40%
3.37
Takedown avg.
0
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0.84
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Austin SpringerHarry Hardwick
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
2 (17%)
Submission
4 (31%)
3 (25%)
Decision
6 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Harry Hardwick66%
Austin Springer 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Harry Hardwick a 66% favorite over Austin Springer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1620), separated by just 2 points.

Harry Hardwick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Austin Springer finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Harry Hardwick 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.