Austin Tweedy vs Jean Do Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
39,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top Team IndianapolisTeamHeioxo MMA Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin TweedyJean Do Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jean Do Santos60%
Austin Tweedy 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jean Do Santos a 60% favorite over Austin Tweedy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Tweedy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1609), separated by just 3 points.
Austin Tweedy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jean Do Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Austin Tweedy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jean Do Santos 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.