Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Tweedy vs Yancy Medeiros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
39,0"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
American Top Team IndianapolisTeamTeam Hakuilua

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin TweedyNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Yancy MedeirosNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
67%
Strike accuracy
37%
6.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
0%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
0%
Takedown defense
74%
0
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Austin TweedyYancy Medeiros
160020232024

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
9 (82%)
Submission
4 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Tweedy64%
Yancy Medeiros 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Tweedy a 64% favorite over Yancy Medeiros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1610), separated by just 2 points.

Austin Tweedy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Austin Tweedy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.