Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Vanderford vs Jeremiah Wells

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record13-4-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gracie Barra PortlandTeamRenzo Gracie Philly

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin VanderfordNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Jeremiah WellsNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.35
59%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.28
48%
Strike defense
48%
3.08
Takedown avg.
3.06
36%
Takedown accuracy
3%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
1.23
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Austin VanderfordJeremiah Wells
170020242025

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
3 (23%)
Submission
4 (31%)
5 (38%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Vanderford62%
Jeremiah Wells 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Vanderford a 62% favorite over Jeremiah Wells in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1688), separated by just 3 points.

Austin Vanderford finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Jeremiah Wells 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.