Ayinda Octave vs Felipe Olivieri
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record15-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71"Reach72,0"
156 lbsWeight160 lbs
Tauras Martial ArtsTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ayinda OctaveFelipe Olivieri
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayinda Octave62%
Felipe Olivieri 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayinda Octave a 62% favorite over Felipe Olivieri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.
Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Felipe Olivieri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ayinda Octave finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Olivieri 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.