Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayinda Octave vs Gabe Ruediger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record18-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tauras Martial ArtsTeamPKG

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayinda OctaveNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Gabe RuedigerNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.70
TBD
Strike accuracy
31%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.16
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.04
TBD
Takedown accuracy
11%
TBD
Takedown defense
29%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ayinda OctaveGabe Ruediger
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
1 (14%)
Submission
13 (72%)
2 (29%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayinda Octave60%
Gabe Ruediger 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayinda Octave a 60% favorite over Gabe Ruediger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.

Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ayinda Octave finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Gabe Ruediger 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.