Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayinda Octave vs Justin Salas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tauras Martial ArtsTeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayinda OctaveNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Justin SalasNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
TBD
Strike defense
69%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
21%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ayinda OctaveJustin Salas
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
1 (14%)
Submission
3 (25%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayinda Octave60%
Justin Salas 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayinda Octave a 60% favorite over Justin Salas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1593), separated by just 0 points.

Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Salas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ayinda Octave finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Justin Salas 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.