Ayinda Octave vs Sam Stout
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record20-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tauras Martial ArtsTeamTeam Tompkins
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
If they win+12→ 1606
If they lose-12→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ayinda OctaveSam Stout
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayinda Octave68%
Sam Stout 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayinda Octave a 68% favorite over Sam Stout in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Stout's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1594), separated by just 1 points.
Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ayinda Octave finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Sam Stout 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.