Combat Edge Intelligence

Aysia Cortez vs Felipe Bunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record14-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
N/AReach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Cortez Martial ArtsTeamPitbull Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aysia CortezNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524
Felipe BunesNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.66
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.13
TBD
Takedown accuracy
22%
TBD
Takedown defense
40%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.26

Trajectory

Aysia CortezFelipe Bunes
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (69%)
2 (67%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Aysia Cortez51%
Felipe Bunes 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Aysia Cortez a 51% favorite over Felipe Bunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felipe Bunes's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1555), separated by just 7 points.

Aysia Cortez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Felipe Bunes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aysia Cortez finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Bunes 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.