Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayton De Paepe vs Koyomi Matsushima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record14-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Combat BrothersTeamGaio Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayton De PaepeNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Koyomi MatsushimaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
9
TBD
Takedown accuracy
53%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ayton De PaepeKoyomi Matsushima
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
3 (20%)
Submission
1 (7%)
9 (60%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayton De Paepe63%
Koyomi Matsushima 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayton De Paepe a 63% favorite over Koyomi Matsushima in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Koyomi Matsushima's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

Ayton De Paepe enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ayton De Paepe finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Koyomi Matsushima 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.