Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayton De Paepe vs Tyson Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record17-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combat BrothersTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayton De PaepeNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Tyson GriffinNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.87
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Ayton De PaepeTyson Griffin
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
3 (20%)
Submission
3 (18%)
9 (60%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayton De Paepe70%
Tyson Griffin 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayton De Paepe a 70% favorite over Tyson Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.

Ayton De Paepe enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ayton De Paepe finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.