Combat Edge Intelligence

Azat Maksum vs Rogério Bontorin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
70"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Octagon Fight TeamTeamGile Ribeiro Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Azat MaksumNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Rogério BontorinNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
29%
Strike accuracy
53%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
52%
Strike defense
50%
2.33
Takedown avg.
2.90
28%
Takedown accuracy
60%
86%
Takedown defense
52%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Azat MaksumRogério Bontorin
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
6 (40%)
Submission
11 (65%)
5 (33%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Azat Maksum64%
Rogério Bontorin 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Azat Maksum a 64% favorite over Rogério Bontorin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1661), separated by just 3 points.

Azat Maksum enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Azat Maksum finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rogério Bontorin 82%.

Azat Maksum carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.