Combat Edge Intelligence

Badreddine Diani vs Billy Ray Goff

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
73"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rebels TeamTeamDexter MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Badreddine DianiNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
Billy Ray GoffNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
8.56
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.71
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.01
TBD
Takedown accuracy
18%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Badreddine DianiBilly Ray Goff
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
2 (18%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (64%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Badreddine Diani84%
Billy Ray Goff 16%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Badreddine Diani a 84% favorite over Billy Ray Goff in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Billy Ray Goff's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1628), separated by just 4 points.

Badreddine Diani enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Billy Ray Goff enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Badreddine Diani finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Billy Ray Goff 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.