Combat Edge Intelligence

Badreddine Diani vs Shimon Smotritsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'2"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rebels TeamTeamMoshik Box

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Badreddine DianiNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
Shimon SmotritskyNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.67
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.52
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Badreddine DianiShimon Smotritsky
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (18%)
Submission
1 (10%)
7 (64%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Badreddine Diani60%
Shimon Smotritsky 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Badreddine Diani a 60% favorite over Shimon Smotritsky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

Badreddine Diani enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Shimon Smotritsky enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Badreddine Diani finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Shimon Smotritsky 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.