Combat Edge Intelligence

Bahatebole Batebolati vs Luca Poclit

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-1Record10-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
China Top TeamTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bahatebole BatebolatiNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Luca PoclitNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.34
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
2.04
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bahatebole BatebolatiLuca Poclit
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
1 (11%)
Submission
6 (60%)
3 (33%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Luca Poclit52%
Bahatebole Batebolati 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luca Poclit a 52% favorite over Bahatebole Batebolati in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bahatebole Batebolati's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.

Bahatebole Batebolati enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Luca Poclit enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bahatebole Batebolati finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Luca Poclit 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.