Combat Edge Intelligence

Bao Quach vs Diego Brandao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-10-1Record29-21-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'3"Height5'7"
TBDReach38,0"
144 lbsWeight145 lbs
Rounders MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bao QuachNow 1603
If they win+12→ 1615
If they lose-12→ 1591
Diego BrandaoNow 1604
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
68%
TBD
Takedown defense
81%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

Bao QuachDiego Brandao
155016002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
16 (55%)
4 (21%)
Submission
6 (21%)
10 (53%)
Decision
7 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Brandao53%
Bao Quach 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Brandao a 53% favorite over Bao Quach in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.

Bao Quach enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Bao Quach finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Diego Brandao 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.